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Land cover distribution and change - outlook from MNP (Outlook 046) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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In the European region agricultural activity leads to expanding agricultural areas over the 2000-2050 period, while in Russian Federation and North Asia region the amount of arable land is decreasing, as land is taken out of production. This land is available for restoration of natural biomes, mainly boreal and temperate forests, steppe and grasslands. (Assessment was created in 2007)
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Land cover distribution and change - outlook from MNP
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Land cover, use of arable land - outlook from EEA (Outlook 009) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Harvested land is expected to continue to be used mainly for fodder and the production of cereals (80% of the total area).
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Land cover, use of arable land - outlook from EEA
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Municipal waste generation - outlook EEA (Outlook 005) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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In the EU-15, most municipal waste streams are not expected to decouple significantly from GDP and none are expected to decouple absolutely. In the New-10, relative decoupling of waste from GDP is expected for municipal wastes. AS municipal waste generation is expected to continue to grow across Europe, the policy target of absolute decoupling is not met. This might lead to an increase in environmental pressures and stretch the waste management capabilities of countries with less developed infrastructure. The economic situation in Europe has a significant impact on municipal waste streams.
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Municipal waste generation - outlook EEA
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Municipal waste generation - outlook from OECD (Outlook 013) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Municipal waste generation is still increasing in OECD countries, but at a slower pace since 2000. There has been a relative decoupling of municipal waste generation in OECD countries from economic growth, but waste generation is continuing to increase.
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Municipal waste generation - outlook from OECD
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 054) - Assessment published Jun 2006
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Assessment is created in 2007 Passenger transport demand is expected to decouple relatively from economic growth over the next 30 years, in line with the policy targets.
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 054) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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The volume of transportation of passengers is projected to increase at a rate of 1.4% per year, between 2005 and 2030. In comparison to past trends, the scenario shows a slowdown in the rate of increase of activity. Forecasts predict a gradual decoupling of transportation activity from GDP growth, a trend which is expected to be more accentuated in the long term.
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from OECD (Outlook 026) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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The OECD Environmental Outlook does not provide the direct answer to these policy questions but provides an indications on the developments in the transport sector globally. The rapid increase in transportation activity seen in recent decades is expected to continue to 2030. Although air travel has been the fastest growing transport mode in recent decades, other modes have increased as well.
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from OECD
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 017) - Assessment published Nov 2007
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According to the IEA/SMP model projections, the growth in the volume of passenger transport will not be decoupled from the economical growth significantly. This will be true for the whole pan-European region. Transport growth will be only marginally lower than GDP growth between 2000 and 2050. During the outlook period passenger transport demand will grow on 5-11% slower than GDP in for Eastern Europe in; 3-7% slower for Former Soviet Union and 3-6% in OECD -Europe in 2020. The share of rail transport is predicted to be stable in Eastern Europe accounting for about 10%, it is expected to grow in OECD-Europe from 4,6% in 2000 to 5,7 % in 2050 and it is expected to decline in FSU from 17,7% to 15,3 %. The share of the car passenger transport is expected to decline in OECD-Europe and Eastern Europe by 13% and grow by about 15% in FSU. The share of air transport is expected to grow in all pan European region by factor 2,3 in OECD-Europe, 2,6 in FSU and by factor 4,7 in Eastern Europe
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 017) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Assessment created in 2007 If present policies and technological trends continue*, passenger transport will continue to grow worldwide, but more rapidly in the fast-growing economies of Eastern Europe, China and India. The modal shares are also expected to shift in a less sustainable direction. Air passenger transport is projected to be the fastest-growing mode. This and road passenger transport together will continue to be the biggest contributors to transport-related CO2 emissions.
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD
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Projections of GHG emissions - outlooks from National Communications under UNFCCC (Outlook 025) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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With current trends and policies,* GHG emissions per capita are expected to increase until 2020 in the EU-10, Eastern Europe, Caucasus, central Asia and South Eastern Europe more than in EU 15, Canada and US. In absolute terms, US GHG emissions per capita are expected to stay the highest in the world.** Global energy-related emissions of CO2, the largest contributor to total GHG emissions, will increase by 29 % up to 2030. China will be the main engine for this growth. In terms of energy-related emissions per capita, Russia will be come close to the current largest emitter, the US. However, if countries were to adopt all the energy security and energy-saving policies that they are currently considering to tackle CO2 emissions, total emissions avoided by 2030 could equal more than the current emissions of the US and Canada combined (or 16 % of the 2030 emissions in the IEA reference scenario), and energy-related CO2 emissions in OECD Europe in 2030 could be less than today's level. *Baseline Scenarios presented in the National Communications of Climate Change (NCC). They include the GDP and population growth projections and the policies adopted in the country on the date of production of the NCC. ** On January 10, 2007 the European Commission presented a package on Climate Change and Energy which basically was endorsed by the European Council 9 March 2007. It includes targets for the reduction of GHGs by 2020. This will influence the reported projections for the coming years.
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Projections of GHG emissions - outlooks from National Communications under UNFCCC
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