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Laying the foundations for greener transport — TERM 2011: transport indicators tracking progress towards environmental targets in Europe
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For the first time ever the European Commissions is proposing a greenhouse gas emissions target for transport. But how is transport going to provide the services that our society needs while minimising its environmental impacts? This is the theme for the Transport White Paper launched in 2011. TERM 2011 and future reports aim to deliver an annual assessment on progress towards these targets by introducing the Transport and Environment Reporting Mechanism Core Set of Indicators (TERM-CSI). TERM 2011 provides also the baseline to which progress will be checked against, covering most of the environmental areas, including energy consumption, emissions, noise and transport demand. In addition, this report shows latest data and discuss on the different aspects that can contribute the most to minimise transport impacts. TERM 2011 applies the avoid-shift-improve (ASI) approach, introduced in the previous TERM report, analysing ways to optimise transport demand, obtain a more sustainable modal split or use the best technology available.
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Publications
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Climate change mitigation - Drivers and pressures (Germany)
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SOER Common environmental theme from Germany
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The European environment – state and outlook 2010
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Country assessments
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Germany
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Transport at a crossroads. TERM 2008: indicators tracking transport and environment in the European Union
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The TERM 2008 report examines the performance of the transport sector vis-a-vis environmental performance. It concludes that there are plenty of options for synergies between different policy initiatives but also a risk of measures counteracting each other.
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Publications
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Modal split of freight transport in EU 27, 1990-2030
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Fig 2. Modal split of passenger transport in EU 27, 1990-2030
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Modal split in 2000 and projected modal split in 2050
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International comparison
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Freight transport modal split in 2000 and projected split in 2050
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Data and maps
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Maps and graphs
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 017) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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Assessment created in 2007 If present policies and technological trends continue*, passenger transport will continue to grow worldwide, but more rapidly in the fast-growing economies of Eastern Europe, China and India. The modal shares are also expected to shift in a less sustainable direction. Air passenger transport is projected to be the fastest-growing mode. This and road passenger transport together will continue to be the biggest contributors to transport-related CO2 emissions.
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from WBCSD
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA (Outlook 054) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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The volume of transportation of passengers is projected to increase at a rate of 1.4% per year, between 2005 and 2030. In comparison to past trends, the scenario shows a slowdown in the rate of increase of activity. Forecasts predict a gradual decoupling of transportation activity from GDP growth, a trend which is expected to be more accentuated in the long term.
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Passenger transport demand - outlook from EEA
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Freight transport demand - outlook from WBCSD (Outlook 027) - Assessment published Jun 2007
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If present policies and technological trends continue ( a ), freight transport is projected to continue to grow worldwide. In the Pan-European region the most significant growth is expected in Eastern Europe, while worldwide a more rapid increase is projected in the fast-growing economies of China and India. Worldwide road transport is expected to grow faster than rail transport. This is expected to lead to substantial shifts of the modal split of freight transport towards less sustainable modes. a) Projections are based on the reference case scenario. The reference case projects one possible set of future conditions, based on recent trends. Adjustments are made for expected deviations from recent trends due to factors such as existing policies, population projections (UNSTAT), income projections (IEA) and expected availability of new technologies. Expectations of other future changes in trends, such as saturation of vehicle ownership, are also incorporated. In general, no major new policies are assumed to be implemented beyond those already implemented in 2003, and no major technological breakthroughs (www.wbcsd.org/web/publications/mobility/smp-model-document.pdf).
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Data and maps
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Indicators
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Freight transport demand - outlook from WBCSD