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Urban flooding — impervious surfaces reduce the drainage of rain water and increase the risk for urban flooding
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The map shows the average soil sealing degree inside the UMZ of European core cities (core city defined in Urban Atlas / Urban Audit). Soil sealing degrees are represented in coloured dots. The city dots are overlaid onto a modelled map displaying the change in annual number of days with heavy rainfall between the reference periods 1961-1990 and 2071-2100.
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Coastal areas (CLIM 041) - Assessment published Sep 2008
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Coastal flooding can lead to important losses. By 2100, the population in the main coastal European cities exposed to sea-level rise and associated impacts on coastal systems is expected to be about 4 million and the exposed assets more than EUR 2 trillion (without adaptation). Future projections of sea-level rise and associated impacts on coastal systems show potentially large increases in the risk of coastal flooding. These could have significant economic costs (without adaptation), with recent estimates in the range of 12 to 18 billion EUR/year for Europe in 2080 under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. The same estimates indicate that adaptation could significantly reduce this risk to around EUR 1 billion.
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Coastal areas
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Projected change in damage of river floods with a 100-year return period between 2071-2100 and 1961-1990
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Note: Model calculation using the IPCC SRES scenario A2 and NUTS2 level.
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Flood risk in Europe: the long-term outlook
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Floods in Central Europe have caused deaths and widespread property damage across parts of the Czech Republic, Germany and Austria. Such events are likely to increase in Europe for several reasons including climate change, according to recent assessments from the European Environment Agency (EEA).
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Percentage of the urban area that would be flooded — share of cities per class per country
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The diagram shows the proportion of cities per country that fall in a particular class regarding the percentage of potentially flooded area.
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Estimated number of people and gross value affected by 100-year flood events in the ‘Economy First’ scenario for the 2050s
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Number of people (a) and amount of manufacturing gross value added (GVA), (b) affected by 100-year flood events in the 'Economy First' scenario for the 2050s. Calculations based on median ensemble results from LISFLOOD linked to population
projections from SCENES scenarios.
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Flood losses per thousand of GDP in the EU 1970-2005
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The figure shows flood losses per thousand of GDP in the EU 1970-2005
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Percentage of the city that would be flooded in case rivers rise one metre
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Percentage of the city that would be flooded in case water in rivers rises 1 m (only cities > 100 000 hab). The city is defined by its biophysical delineation (Urban Morphological Zone) inside the core city boundaries (Urban Audit). The background shows the relative change in 100-year return level of river discharge. Neither coastal floods nor flood protection measures are considered in the calculations.
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Number of flood events (left); number of deaths per flood event (right)
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Note: Flood events include flash floods, river floods and storm surges in Europe (1976-2001).
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Projected change in mean seasonal and annual river flow between 2071-2100 and the reference period 1961-1990
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Simulations with LISFLOOD driven by HIRHAM HadAM3H/HadCM3 based on
IPCC SRES scenario A2.
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