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Climate change — time to act
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Climate change is a real and current threat. To avoid major irreversible impacts on society and ecosystems, we must act now.
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Global and European temperature (CSI 012/CLIM 001) - Assessment published Apr 2008
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WORLD
The increase in global and European mean temperature, observed over the last decades, is unusual in terms of both magnitude and rate of change.
The global (land and ocean) average temperature increase up to 2006 was 0.76 °C compared to pre-industrial. Eleven of the last 12 years (1995 -2006) rank among the 12 warmest years in the instrumental record (since 1850), and 2005 and 1998 were the warmest two years than any year on record.
The rate of global average temperature change has increased from 0.08°C per decade over last 100 years, to 0.13 °C per decade in last 50 years and 0.23°C in last decade.
The best estimates for projected global warming from 1990 to the end of this century range from 1.8 to 4.0°C (likely range 1.1 to 6.4°C) for different scenarios which do not assume that more action is taken to limit emissions.
EUROPE
Europe has warmed more than the global average. The increase for the European land area and European land & ocean area has been 1.16°C and 0.95°C, respectively, comparing the trend towards 2006 with pre-industrial times. The warmest year in European land has been 2000, closely followed by 2006 and 2002.
The temperature changes has been largest in South-Western, central and north-eastern Europe and in mountainous regions.
In the past 100 years, cold days, cold nights and frost have became less frequent, while extreme high temperature as hot days, hot nights, and heat waves have became more frequent.
The annual average temperature for Europe is projected to rise this century 1-5.5°C (best estimate) with the greatest warming over eastern Europe and Scandinavia in winter, and over south-western and Mediterranean Europe in summer.
For Europe as whole it is very likely that hot extremes, heat waves, and heavy precipitation events will continue to become more frequent and cold events less frequent.
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Global and European temperature
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Global and European temperature (CSI 012/CLIM 001) - Assessment published Oct 2005
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The increase in global mean temperature observed over recent decades is unusual in terms of both magnitude and rate of change. The temperature increase up to 2004 was about 0.7 +/- 0.2 degrees C compared with pre-industrial levels. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global mean temperature is likely to increase by 1.4-5.8 degrees C between 1990 and 2100, assuming no climate change policies. The EU target might be exceeded between 2040 and 2070. The current global rate of change is about 0.18 +/- 0.05 degrees C per decade, a value probably exceeding any 100-year average rate of warming during the past 1 000 years.
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Global and European temperature
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Effects of climate change
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In the past 100 years, the number of cold and frost days has decreased in most parts of Europe, whereas the number of days with temperatures above 25°C and the number of heatwaves have increased. The frequency of very wet days has significantly decreased in recent decades in many places in southern Europe, but increased in mid and northern Europe. Cold winters are projected to disappear almost entirely by 2080 and hot summers are projected to become much more frequent. This will have a continuing effect on mountain regions. For every 1°C increase in temperature, the snowline rises by 150 metres. And by 2050, three-quarters of today's glaciers in parts of the Alps are expected to have disappeared.
Source: State of the Environment Report No 1/2005 "The European environment - State and outlook 2005" (published 29 Nov 2005)
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Environmental topics
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Climate change
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Multimedia
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Forests, health and climate change
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Forests are essential to our survival and well-being. Forests clean our air, our water, our soil and they regulate our climate, amongst many other things. Trees and forests are not always associated with urban landscapes. However, there too they provide invaluable, often invisible, services. Simply by acting as 'green oasis' in our concrete jungles, they offer recreation and health services for many European citizens.
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Burnt areas in Portugal, summer 2003
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Forests, health and climate change
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Urban green spaces, forests for cooler cities and healthier people
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Europe must adapt to stay ahead of a changing climate
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As Europe’s climate warms, wine producers in Europe may need to change the type of grapes they cultivate or the location of vineyards, even moving production to other areas in some cases. This is just one example of how Europe’s economy and society need to adapt to climate change, as examined in a new report from the European Environment Agency (EEA).
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Heat waves — both a low share of green and blue urban areas and high population densities can contribute to the urban heat island effect in cities
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The cities are displayed as dots of different colours and sizes. The colours represent the share of green and blue urban areas inside the Urban Morphological Zone of the city, the size of the dots reflects the population density within the core cities’ UMZ. The background map is the result of climatic modelling and represents the number of combined tropical nights (T>20°C) and hot days (T>35°C) for the period 2071 to 2100.
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Urban climate analysis map for the city of Arnhem, the Netherlands
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The map shows different climate classifications of the areas in the city of Arnheim
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